PROOF … not cherry-picked wins
TRANSPARENCY FIELDS
AUDITABLE STRUCTURE
Proof that matters … telemetry proof.
Anyone can screenshot a win. ArbitrageBeast shows the fields that actually matter: fair prob band, EV band, panels, live monitoring states, and a logged audit trail over time.
What you see
EV bands
uncertainty shown, not hidden
What keeps you safe
State changes
WAIT / PASS / DECAY when edge collapses
What stays disciplined
Capped Kelly
units sizing to prevent tilt
Honest note: no system “guarantees” wins. What we prove is edge logic + monitoring + transparent logging.
What “proof” looks like
fields … not hype
Vig-free consensus
base rates derived from multiple books
Monitored edges
qualify … then keep checking
Audit slice (example framing)
This section is where you can surface a clean “slice” (bucket, sport, date range, etc.). It’s meant to be precise and boring — that’s the point.
HIGH odds bucket
audit slice
| Metric | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Bets | 25 | Number of HIGH-odds qualifiers in this slice. |
| PnL | +39.75 units | Net profit across the bucket. |
| Staked | 57 units | Total risk exposure (units). |
| ROI | 69.7% | Return vs total staked (bucket-level). |
With HIGH prices, swings are bigger. The point is controlled sizing + consistency + monitoring.
What this page proves
structure
Not “we win a lot.” Proof is: same fields, same rules, and outcomes recorded whether they win or lose.
- vig-free fair probability band + n (books)
- EV band (low / mid / high) + band_width
- panels: supporting books that align
- state changes: NEW / DECAY / WAIT / PASS
- units sizing (capped Kelly) for discipline
- result updates + closing snapshot + CLV
Proof wall (real Discord embeds)
These are examples of what members see in the feed: picks, telemetry fields, monitoring, and results — including losses. That’s the whole point.
TITAN — NBA High-Odds Edge (Early)
A top-tier TITAN signal flagged far ahead of tip-off, showing the full telemetry: fair prob band (vig-free), EV band, panels consensus, and capped Kelly units sizing — only posted when conservative thresholds clear.
A top-tier TITAN signal flagged far ahead of tip-off, showing the full telemetry: fair prob band (vig-free), EV band, panels consensus, and capped Kelly units sizing — only posted when conservative thresholds clear.
WAIT — Big Bash Cricket (Watch State)
The system sees a potential edge but stays disciplined: WATCH/WAIT until the conservative EV trigger is met. This is how the feed avoids forced action and protects bankroll from false positives.
The system sees a potential edge but stays disciplined: WATCH/WAIT until the conservative EV trigger is met. This is how the feed avoids forced action and protects bankroll from false positives.
Market Decay — NBA (WAIT → PASS)
A previously observed opportunity is withdrawn after the edge collapses. When visibility decay or price action kills EV, the system marks PASS so members don’t chase a dead number.
A previously observed opportunity is withdrawn after the edge collapses. When visibility decay or price action kills EV, the system marks PASS so members don’t chase a dead number.
STRONG — NFL Bet Confirmed
A STRONG-tier signal triggered after EV_low cleared the rule line, with supporting books listed as panels. Units sizing remains capped — frequency never overrides discipline.
A STRONG-tier signal triggered after EV_low cleared the rule line, with supporting books listed as panels. Units sizing remains capped — frequency never overrides discipline.
STRONG — NFL Early High-Odds Edge
A high-odds opportunity flagged early with a clearly positive EV band. The system confirms supporting books, then posts the bet with controlled stake sizing (capped Kelly units).
A high-odds opportunity flagged early with a clearly positive EV band. The system confirms supporting books, then posts the bet with controlled stake sizing (capped Kelly units).
Result Update — STRONG Settles as WIN
Outcome reporting includes stake, closing snapshot time, and CLV. This one settled as a WIN — while transparently noting that the market later decayed and the state changed.
Outcome reporting includes stake, closing snapshot time, and CLV. This one settled as a WIN — while transparently noting that the market later decayed and the state changed.
TITAN — NBA Extreme High-Odds Edge
A TITAN-tier alert with a wide positive EV band and multi-book confirmation. Posted only when rule thresholds are met, with units sizing tuned to avoid overexposure.
A TITAN-tier alert with a wide positive EV band and multi-book confirmation. Posted only when rule thresholds are met, with units sizing tuned to avoid overexposure.
First Seen — NBA (NEW → WAIT)
Early market appearance is logged without forcing a bet. The feed records the opportunity and waits for EV confirmation — proving the system tracks reality, not just “plays.”
Early market appearance is logged without forcing a bet. The feed records the opportunity and waits for EV confirmation — proving the system tracks reality, not just “plays.”
Market Decay — After Entry (BET → WAIT)
After a valid entry, the market moved and EV dropped below threshold. The system flags WAIT to document decay and prevent additional exposure. This is what real transparency looks like.
After a valid entry, the market moved and EV dropped below threshold. The system flags WAIT to document decay and prevent additional exposure. This is what real transparency looks like.
Result Update — STRONG Settles as LOSS
Losses are shown the same way wins are shown: stake, closing snapshot, CLV fields, and final status. Edge is statistical — it proves out across samples, not single outcomes.
Losses are shown the same way wins are shown: stake, closing snapshot, CLV fields, and final status. Edge is statistical — it proves out across samples, not single outcomes.
Access
One price. Private Discord. Live EV telemetry.
ArbitrageBeast Access
$149 USD/mo
$149 USD/mo
per month
- STRONG + TITAN embeds
- vig-free fair prob band + EV band
- panels + band_width transparency
- market decay monitoring every ~5 minutes
- results + closing snapshots + CLV
A clean, disciplined feed — not a noisy picks room.
Join for $149 USD/mo